The API Kill and the Platforms That Replaced It The history of social media intelligence divides cleanly at 2023. Before that year, SOCMINT operated on a durable infrastructure: programmatic API access to Twitter's firehose, permissive scraping conventions across Facebook and Instagram, and a generation of open-source tooling built on top of both. Researchers at … [Read more...] about How SOCMINT Evolved: From API Access to Manual Tradecraft
The Ceasefire Is a Pause, Not a Peace. The War Should Resume.
Barak Ravid's reporting from the last 48 hours is the clearest window into how close — and how hollow — the current Iran deal framework actually is. The picture that emerges from his sources is not a peace agreement. It is a structured pause with a legitimacy problem and an expiration date. Ravid reported Saturday that negotiators expected to finalize and publish a one-page … [Read more...] about The Ceasefire Is a Pause, Not a Peace. The War Should Resume.
Kalshi Raises $1 Billion at $22 Billion Valuation
Prediction Markets Cross Into Institutional Finance Kalshi announced a $1 billion Series F round on May 8, 2026, valuing the company at $22 billion. The round was led by Coatue, with participation from Sequoia Capital, Andreessen Horowitz, IVP, Paradigm, Morgan Stanley, and ARK Invest. The investor list is notable not only for its size but for its composition: Morgan … [Read more...] about Kalshi Raises $1 Billion at $22 Billion Valuation
BAE Systems OneArc Partners with Skyline Software to Close the Drone-to-Simulation Gap
BAE Systems' OneArc division has announced a global reseller agreement with Skyline Software, folding Skyline's PhotoMesh product into the SceneCast solution package. The move completes an end-to-end workflow: drone imagery in, simulation-ready terrain out, within hours. SceneCast is a deployable system built to capture real-world environments and convert them directly into … [Read more...] about BAE Systems OneArc Partners with Skyline Software to Close the Drone-to-Simulation Gap
Europe’s Competitiveness Warning From Merz
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz delivered a blunt message on Europe’s economic position, arguing that the European Union already possesses the scale to compete globally but remains constrained by internal costs and structural drag. Referring to the bloc’s roughly 450 million consumers, Merz said Europe is already larger than the United States in market size, yet has failed to … [Read more...] about Europe’s Competitiveness Warning From Merz
Trump’s Iran Ultimatum: The Logic Behind the Threat
Donald Trump's latest statement on Truth Social — warning that the United States will destroy every power station and every bridge in Iran if negotiations fail — is being received in predictable fashion: alarm from diplomatic quarters, approval from hardliners, and confusion from everyone trying to determine whether it is posture or policy. The more useful question is whether … [Read more...] about Trump’s Iran Ultimatum: The Logic Behind the Threat
ICC War Crimes Complaint Against Spanish PM Sánchez
Shurat HaDin Files ICC War Crimes Complaint Against Spanish PM Sánchez Over Iran Arms Transfers Israeli legal advocacy organization Shurat HaDin — the Israel Law Center — has filed a formal complaint with the International Criminal Court in The Hague against Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez, alleging complicity in war crimes through the authorized transfer of dual-use … [Read more...] about ICC War Crimes Complaint Against Spanish PM Sánchez
Textron Aviation Defense Wins $150M Follow-On Contract to Sustain T-6 Texan II Fleet
Textron Aviation Defense LLC has secured a five-year follow-on contract worth more than $150 million to continue providing Sustaining Engineering and Program Management (SEPM) services for the U.S. military's T-6 Texan II trainer fleet — a quiet but strategically significant renewal that underscores just how central the aging Texan II remains to American pilot … [Read more...] about Textron Aviation Defense Wins $150M Follow-On Contract to Sustain T-6 Texan II Fleet
Beijing Stages a Reunion, on Its Own Terms
Xi Jinping met Friday in Beijing with Cheng Li-wun, chairwoman of Taiwan's Kuomintang party, in the highest-profile cross-strait political contact in a decade. The meeting was framed by Chinese state media as a breakthrough moment for peace. It was, more precisely, a demonstration of how Beijing defines peace: as the acceptance, by Taiwan, of its own eventual … [Read more...] about Beijing Stages a Reunion, on Its Own Terms
Russia’s Security Operations in Africa — Brief Overview
Russia has steadily expanded its security footprint across Africa over the past decade, deploying thousands of personnel through a hybrid “military-business” model that trades security services for money, political influence, and access to natural resources. Initially led by the Wagner Group starting around 2017, these operations were formally restructured after 2023 into … [Read more...] about Russia’s Security Operations in Africa — Brief Overview